Very warm for a few more days

Fun fact here regarding a warm weather.  Salem set a new record high temperature Tuesday with a high of 83°!!!  That is toasty warm for mid October and the warmth will continue through Sunday.

Oct 5

Monday:  Should make it into the 70s one final time, but clouds will be on the increase.

Tuesday:  Afternoon rain which will break a 14 day dry stretch.

Wednesday:  Will be in between storms so expect a mostly dry day.  A shower or two is still possible.

Thursday:  Rainy & breezy day.

Near record warmth

This week will feature some very warm (for mid October standards) temperatures.  Highs today will be close to 80°!!!  We have dry, mostly sunny conditions to look forward to through Sunday. 

Monday of next week is a transition day into cooler weather.  I’m not sure any rain actually falls that day yet, but at the very least clouds and cooler air will move in.

Beyond next Monday:  High confidence that we enter into a rainy/stormy pattern which should put an end to 70+ degree weather for the year.

warm oct

Lots of dry weather

New forecast is out after spending a bit of time yesterday thinking, reviewing, and looking back on Sunday’s messed up forecast :/ .  Silver lining is that I’ve got another learning experience under my belt (trying to think positive) and hopefully I will continue to improve my forecasting skill as time goes on.  Anyway, high confidence all the way through this week that we stay dry each day.  Doesn’t mean it won’t change, just a smaller chance that it does so.

Oct 4

Sunday update

Luke no

My “dry” Sunday has turned into a not so dry day after all.  This didn’t come out of nowhere of course.  Last night I noticed the weather models were starting to paint a little  precip over us, but I figured they were overdoing it.  Well, now we all know that it wasn’t overdone.  Hopefully lesson learned…  

Okay, picking myself up and moving on I see that much of the day should still be dry, but if your plans required all dry weather (again I’m so sorry) then you will need to make alternate plans.  

Monday & Tuesday both look showery. 

Big changes coming

We have a very wet storm coming for this Friday & Saturday.  Expect close to half an inch of rain and breezy winds gusting to 25mph.  Nothing crazy, but our first real fall storm of the year.

Oct 2

Saturday:  Showers in the morning will taper off into just a few isolated showers for the afternoon.

Sunday:  Dry & sunny.

Monday:  Dry most of the day with a few late day/evening showers.

Tuesday: Breezy conditions return, especially during the afternoon hours.  Showers.

Wednesday & Thursday:  Dry, but chilly for this time of year with our first widespread lows in the 30s and highs even under sunny skies only making the low to mid 60s.