Category: Salem Area Forecast

Stormy weather

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, The Mountains and Beyond, WEATHER ALERTSLeave a comment

There is a lot going on in the weather department, so let’s jump right in.

1.) Tonight/Friday, windy with heavy rain at times transitioning to showers during the afternoon. Maybe even a late afternoon thundershower. Gusts should top out around 40 – 50mph which is not super “wild”; however, that’s stronger than any storm we saw last winter. Expect a few power outages.

  • Rainfall will end up over an inch by the time Saturday rolls around which means localized areas of minor flooding is possible.
  • This chart shows peak wind gusts in knots at 4AM Friday morning. The 47 over Salem translates to 54mph which I think is a little overdone, but we will see. Either way it’s going to be quite windy tonight and Friday morning.

2.) A second (not as intense) round of rain and wind moves in Saturday afternoon/Saturday night. Gusts with this storm will be closer to 25 – 35mph.

3.) Sunday will be a sort of in between day with both a few showers and a few sunbreaks at times. Sunday night – Monday more rain & wind. This third storm contains a lot of moisture. We could easily see well over an inch during this timeframe. Will monitor this storm also as time gets closer.

4.) Yet another strong storm is possible Tuesday & Wednesday bringing the potential for more heavy rain and strong winds.

5.) Over 4 inches of rain are forecasted by next Thursday morning. Even if this is overdoing the rainfall by an inch we still have an extremely wet stretch of days ahead.

THE CASCADES

Very poor travel weather starting late tonight through Saturday night with heavy snow and high winds. Great snowpack building weather though with 18 – 24+ inches of new snow falling, but terrible if you wish to travel over the passes. Much better conditions on Sun & Mon.

THE COAST

  • Along the Oregon coast expect lots of big waves, like 40 plus foot waves at times, powerful winds, and high surf to be the rule of thumb over the next week or so. Add in some heavy rain (3 – 6+ inches over the next several days) with the high surf, and coastal flooding is going to be an issue in places.
  • Sunday looks to be the calmest day, and even that day will prove to be showery and breezy at times, but with a few glorious sunbreaks scattered in between.
  • Wind gusts will also be higher at the coast, as is usual, gusting 60 to 70mph with this first system. Gusts above 50 are likely with some of next week’s storms too.

Like I said, lots going on. Okay, happy Thursday and stay safe!!

Cool and wet

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

Well, we kicked off November on a warm note with highs in the 60s the first 5 days of the month, but things have cooled off dramatically and will stay cool through the week. This morning was particularly cold with lows 24 – 27° across the mid valley. Brrrrrrrrr!!!!

Salem’s 7 day forecast

HIGHLIGHTS

1.) Tue – Thu: Showers possible each day with some good mountain snow (12 – 20 inches by Friday morning). Tue in particular will have fairly vigorous showers with hail possible. The driest day this week is going to be Wed with only an isolated shower or two.

2.) Watching Friday/Saturday for the development of a powerful wind & rain storm. Keep both eyes open for updates as this system has the potential to bring some very stormy weather to our region.

3.) Sunday and much of next week look wet. Rain or showers almost every single day, windy at times too with additional rounds of mountain snow.

Warm weather & rain moving in…

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, WEATHER ALERTSLeave a comment

It’s lunchtime which means I have just enough time to squeeze in a quick update lol. 😉

The past several days have been quite warm for November. Yesterday was 15 degrees above normal with a low of 58 and a high of 68!! Look at how warm the state as a whole was. These were temps as of 3PM yesterday.

Very warm, in fact record breaking warmth for a number of cities. Today is still fairly mild, but rain is approaching and this storm will usher in much cooler weather.

As of 11:40AM you can see the rain approaching from the NW.

Link to the radar (updated every ten minutes courtesy of Fox 12 News) http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/web_radarnwor.jpg

Bottom line: it’s going to be a rainy couple of days.

Happy Thursday and stay safe!

Election Day 2020

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, The Mountains and BeyondLeave a comment

We finally had some rain today after a very dry October. Looking ahead we have a bit of weather action coming up this week to cover including some mountain snow.

Highlights

1.) Thursday & Friday will be especially wet. Expect a little more than an inch of rain over these two days.

2.) Much cooler weather. Highs will be in the 40s Sun – Tue and lows will once again drop into the 20s Monday morning.

Here are a couple of maps showing both the total precip and total snowfall measured in inches through Saturday night. Main take away is it’s looking wet down here and snowy up in the Cascades with generally 10 to 15 inches expected starting early Friday morning as the snow level slowly drops down to near 3000′.

I’m very glad to have you all as faithful followers. You may notice I avoid posting anything political in my forecasts, or at least I try to. My desire is to keep it that way as it’s extremely nice for a change reading about something that isn’t political, polarizing, frustrating, or upsetting as most political things are; however, I think active involvement in our system is very important, so if you have not voted yet, be sure to fill your ballot out and drop it off by 8pm tonight!!

Okay, take care, happy election day, and remember, at the end of the day we are all still God’s children. 🙂

Wrapping up October

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

Nothing special going on this week.  We had some cold (for October) weather these past few days. Salem had a low temp of of 27° Monday morning. Brrrr!! Check out some of the other low temps from around the region on this Fox 12 News graphic I borrowed.

Monday morning low temps
EXTENDED FORECAST

1.) Like I said, nothing exciting coming up. Just more partly cloudy – mostly sunny days, with chilly mornings and mild afternoons.

2.) A couple of showers are likely Friday, but still no sign of any significant rainfall. By Saturday we will be totally dry again.

3.) Maybe some rain by next Tuesday as a slightly stronger storm rolls through…

Warm October

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

Up until these past two days this month has been warm. Currently we are running about 3.5° above normal for the entire month which is quite impressive and one of the warmer Octobers we have had in a long time, but things are starting to balance out a little. Yesterday cool air moved in, and this morning we had our coldest low temp of the season with a low of 33°. This weekend even chillier air moves in bringing low temps below freezing for the first time since last April.

The storm coming in Friday evening will bring some much cooler weather, but not a whole lot of precipitation at all. I’m thinking nothing more than a few showers Friday afternoon/evening and maybe a leftover shower or two Saturday morning before drying out. Plan on Saturday afternoon being a dry, but cool.

Sun – Tue: Even colder with morning lows 28 – 32 degrees, and highs 50 – 54°.

Looking further out I see no sign of any significant rain. Warm or cold the one thing that’s been consistent this month has been dry weather. A moderate to strong La Nina is still being predicted for this winter (November – March) which means this unusually dry weather may not last much longer, so I suppose we should continue to enjoy it while it lasts. In case you missed my incredible write up on what I think might happen this winter you can follow the link below. 😉

https://bryanweatheralert.com/2020/09/28/winter-2020-2021-outlook/

Alright, enjoy the cool fall weather and stay safe & healthy out there!

October 18th

On By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

We have another several days of pretty typical October weather on the way with (maybe) a change towards something more exciting as we head into next weekend.

Here’s the next 7 seven days.

Highlights

1.) A couple of brief showers possible tonight and again on Wednesday, but overall another mostly dry week ahead.

2.) Our first frost of the season (widespread) is possible on Thursday. Something to think about if you have temperature sensitive plants.

3.) Watching what happens with a more powerful storm moving in Friday night and Saturday. I’ve highlighted those two days in yellow as there is a lot of uncertainty with the track of the storm which affects how windy, cold, and rainy it will get here. For now I expect rain Friday evening along with some gusty winds. Saturday looks chilly with some leftover showers & sunbreaks. This storm also has the potential to bring the first significant snowfall of the year to the Cascades. Lots to watch with this system, so stay tuned.

4.) If we don’t hit freezing Thursday we will almost certainly hit it Sunday morning as we come under the influence of chilly Canadian air.