May 27th Forecast

A quick forecast this fine evening.

Extended Forecast

5.27.20

Details

  • Both Thursday and Friday will be very warm and dry.  Only difference is Friday will feel more humid and will also feature some afternoon clouds.

 

  • Slight chance of a thunderstorm very late Friday night into Saturday.  Thunder or no thunder, Saturday is going to be a very wet day.  Plan on rain and frequent showers the whole day.

 

  • Good news is the Saturday storm will be a one hit wonder.  Sunday through next Wednesday will stay mild and dry.  Only exception is a very slight chance of a shower Sunday; otherwise this time frame looks nice & dry.

There you have it!  Take care and enjoy the sunshine!

Thunderstorm chances increasing

As expected the sunbreaks today are destabilizing the atmosphere enough that we are seeing some hefty showers and thunderstorms forming around the region.  No guarantees we see a storm as they will be scattered in nature, but our chances are definitely much higher than usual.

I have a couple of links to help you keep track of the storms today.  This first link tracks lightning strikes:

https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=2.31;ts=0;z=6;y=40.2236;x=-116.0707;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;tr=0;

This second link is to the radar which updates every ten minutes.  Click on the map for a closer look.

Tomorrow should be a near repeat of today with the only difference being a few more sunbreaks, but still a chance for showers and storms.

Have a fantastic Sunday and be safe!

Enjoy it!

I hate to say it, but enjoy this brief stint of dry weather while it lasts.  By this time tomorrow it will likely be raining again.

5.15.20

Details

Sat:  Wet, with periods of rain, breezy winds, and at times some heavier rain.

Sun & Mon:  We will have another shot at seeing a few thunderstorms.  The storms will be scattered and random making it tough as always to predict who gets in on that action and who doesn’t.  Cloud cover prevented widespread coverage of thunderstorms this week, and cloud cover will again be the key factor for storms this Sunday and Monday.  If we manage some decent sunbreaks then our chances for storms goes up.  So keep an eye to the sky those days.

Tue – Thu:  Mostly dry, lots of clouds; however, each day will still contain a slight chance of a shower.

Thunderstorms

If you have lived here any longer than say a year or so then you know how difficult thunderstorms can be to forecast around here.  Take for example this evening.  Right now we have one isolated/random thunderstorm NW of Salem.  Looks like another one SW of Salem may be popping up, but you get the idea.  Some of us will score a nice storm and some will not.

5.10.20 thunderstorms one

Details

To keep it short, we have a fairly decent shot at seeing thunderstorms now through Monday night.  Monday won’t be a washout, in fact there should be plenty of dry breaks mixed in, but if you find yourself under one of the stronger storms rolling around then you will see a brief period of heavy rain.

Tuesday – Thursday will feature plenty of showers, sunbreaks, and additional opportunities for thunderstorms.

Fri & Sat:  The driest days this week with highs around 72°.

Sun:  A return of stormy weather looks likely at this point.

 

I hope you all had a wonderful Mother’s Day and a great Monday!!

Summer warmth

We have one more day of showery weather to get through before switching to a much warmer summer time pattern.  I’ve got the next 7 days mapped out for you right here.

5.5.20

Wed:  One final day of showers.  We should also dry out fairly quickly during the late afternoon leading to a dry or mostly dry evening.

Thu – Sun:  Very warm weather with Fri & Sat being the hottest days.  If everything lines up right or wrong (depending on how you feel about hot weather) we could reach 90° one of those days.

Mon:  I’m watching for what could be a much better opportunity for thunderstorms Monday evening.  Better at least than the chances we had this past weekend.  Thunderstorms or not, Monday evening looks wet as showers return to the area.

Tue:  Wet with plenty of showers and cooler temperatures.

 

And just for fun…

A quick recap of the storms from this past weekend.  We may have not received any thunder or lightning, but we got a healthy amount of rainfall.  Rainfall totals ranged from around half an inch to one and a half inches depending on location.  This was the most rain we have seen on back to back days since March.

With the exception of January every month since September has featured below normal precipitation.  As much as we like the sun, a wetter than average May would be both beneficial in preventing an early start to fire season as well as it would ease drought concerns.  With the rain we received over the weekend and with forecasts showing a return to wetter weather next week I’m thinking May could end up above normal.

 

Oops!

Showers today were not in the forecast I gave a few days ago.  OOPS, and sorry!  What else can I say?  Yes, even the best forecasters mess up every now and then… This is how the radar looked around 2:40PM showing a number of showers roaming around.

uh oh 5.1.20

FORECAST 

Moving on from today’s little fiasco I see Saturday has the potential to be rather stormy with a cold front moving through during the morning hours bringing gusty winds, heavy rain, and even the possibility of lightning and thunder.  Behind the front a few sunbreaks should pop up along with additional showers and thunderstorms.  Some of these thunderstorms could be quite strong for our corner of the world.  Something to keep in mind if you are out and about tomorrow.

Sunday.  Currently I suspect much of the day will be dry and even sunny, but a few afternoon showers and thundershowers will pop up again giving anyone the chance at seeing a brief downpour.

Next week could feature our warmest weather of the year specifically towards the second half of the week, but more on that another day.

Have a wonderful rest of your Friday!

 

April 28th update

It has been slow in the weather department lately, and honestly there is still nothing super exciting on the immediate horizon, but I figured it was long past time for a new update on here.

Extended Forecast

4.28.20

Details

Wed – Thu:  A couple of showers late Wednesday night and again during the daytime hours Thursday.

Fri:  A sunnier and slightly warmer version of today.

Sat:  The day may start dry early on, but I wouldn’t count on the dry weather to last very long at all as a wet storm system will be spread rain into the valley by roughly 10AM and lasting the better part of the day.  Breezy with winds gusting 15 to 25mph.

Sun:  Showers and sunbreaks.  Could have some heavier showers/thundershowers during the PM hours.

Mon:  More showers and sunbreaks.

Tue:  Dry.  Warming back up close to 70°.

I hope you all are doing well during this difficult time and that you are taking care of yourselves!!