Lots of rain coming our way

 

2018-03-24 23.59.05

Yeah, not a whole lot in the way of sun over the next 4 days at all, but that’s wintertime for you here in western Oregon.

Rain is on the way and it looks like my previous forecast is still very much on track (miracles do happen I guess lol….).

Here’s a day by day breakdown of what to expect.

Wed:  Lots of clouds with a few sprinkles/light showers later in the day.  Nothing too bad at all with more dry time than wet.

Thu:  Periods of rain with windy conditions.  Wind gusts 25 to 35mph. A little over half an inch of rain expected.

Fri:  Looks to be the wettest day, specifically later in the day as steady moderate to heavy rain slowly moves across the area from the northwest.  Winds gusting 20 to 35mph.  1 – 2 inches of rain.

Sat:  Rainy much of the day with another inch or more by the day’s end.  Winds will be much calmer with gusts no more than 15mph.

Sun:  A few left over showers with some PM sunbreaks possible.


The Cascades

10 – 15″ of snow now through Sunday above about 4700′.

The two clearest times to travel the Cascade passes will be Friday and Sunday afternoon.

Have a great Wednesday!!!!

Rainy week ahead

We have some extremely wet weather coming up for the second half of the week.  I have plenty of details for you all below.

Extended Forecast

12.15.19

Details

Mon & Tue:  Foggy, cool, and grey.  The calm before the storm.

Wed:  Increasing clouds with showers.

Thu – Sat:  Extremely wet with extended periods of rain (fairly heavy at times) leading to totals of 2 – 4 inches for the mid Valley.  Localized flooding seems like a real possibility with so much rain in such a short timeframe.  Windy Thursday afternoon through Friday morning with gusts 25 to 35mph.

Sunday:  Showers around and cooler.


The Cascades

This will be a warmer storm system which means only some of the precip will fall as snow.  I’m currently forecasting 10 to 15 inches for the Oregon Cascades above 4500′ for the week.  Much larger amounts of snow for the Washington Cascades where the airmass will stay a little bit cooler.


The Coast Range and Coast

Tons of rain with 5 – 10 inches (or more) Wed – Sat.  Expect some landslides and mudslides along with some sharp rises in the rivers and streams in these regions.

 

Good morning!

A quick update this morning before heading into work.  We have a very powerful storm approaching the southern Oregon coast.  If you have travel plans almost anywhere in the state today or tonight, specifically south from Salem southward through northern California keep in mind the potential for weather delays and hazards is high.

You can see the storm approaching the coast right here:

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-17&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=geocolor&x=6750&y=3186

Impacts here in Salem should be fairly minimal compared to the rest of the state with periods of rain and gusty north/northeast winds as the day goes on.

The Coast Range and Cascades will see a good deal of snow with this storm, but even valley locations south near Eugene have a shot at seeing a little bit of snow tonight with this storm.  I have a feeling Salem will be too far north to see any sticking snow.  You can keep track of regional temps and the progress of the cold air moving in behind the storm right here:

High temps Wed – Sat should be around 40 – 43 degrees, and lows will be in the 18 – 24 degree range.  Very chilly for the end of November.

I’m still watching the potential for some wintry precip Sunday.  Not a lot at this point, but keep in mind there could be some snow or freezing rain that day.

I will likely have another update tonight.  Remember to look for updates on Instagram as well.

Have a great Tuesday!!!

 

A wintry Thanksgiving week

Not too many posts from me lately as the weather has been very stable, or boring – depending on your point of view.  This will be changing in a big way as we head into Thanksgiving week.

Nov 23 forecast

Highlights

Perhaps the most important thing is that Wed – Sat will be dry right around here meaning good traveling weather for your fun thanksgiving plans.

Sunday:  Lots of clouds around with sprinkles early on.  Nothing real exciting.

Monday:  Cloudy with a few showers.

Tuesday:  Currently it looks like we stay breezy with periods of rain.  Cold air will be pushing in all day which means by Tuesday night snow levels will be down to around 1000′.

Wednesday:  A few sprinkles or flurries (nothing sticking at this point) possible early on before drying out.

Thu & Fri:  Very cold, sunny, and dry.

Saturday:  Cold with increasing clouds late in the day.

Sunday:  Watching the potential for some freezing rain and or snow here in the valley.

I will certainly have updates as the week goes on, especially for the storms Tuesday night and Sunday.


The Cascades

Mon – Wed look fairly snowy above 3000′ with 8 to 12 inches falling.  This is good news for skiers, but bad for travel plans.

Central Oregon

Snowy Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

Washington State

The storm on Tuesday is sliding by to our south, so if your adventures take you into Washington you should be mostly in the clear.

Thursday morning update

A quick update before you head out the door this morning as we have a chance for showers and maybe a few thunderstorms today.

Timing

This morning:  The possibility for a few regular – plain old showers exists through about 9 or 10am.  Very slight chance for a thunderstorm during this time.

10AM – 4PM:  Should be mostly dry, with lots of sunbreaks.  With the sun out we could easily get into the 80s today.

After 4PM:  Chances for thunderstorms and showers goes up.  No guarantees of course (it’s Oregon after all), but a fairly decent chance for our standards.

The Cascades & Central Oregon

These regions will almost certainly experience storms today.  In fact, there are already storms firing up near and south of Bend now.


Looking ahead

Sunday through Tuesday of next week looks showery.  Not a washout, but definitely wet at times.

Remember to follow me on Instagram as I post occasional updates on there, especially when I’m on the go and away from the laptop.

https://www.instagram.com/bryanweatheralerts/

Have a great day!!!

Wintry weather update

Here we go again with more chances for snow only this time it’s March.  I’ll get to all the fine details soon, but first the extended forecast.

March 5

In a nutshell I see several more opportunities for wintry weather before gradually warming up Saturday through Monday.


All the details

Tonight we slowly cool off back close to freezing.  Just like last week’s little snowstorm I’ll keep a close eye on the temperatures as they will be an important indicator as to what falls from the sky later on.  Regardless of temps, precip should arrive around midnight (give or take an hour or two).  Precip will be very light and spotty at first as we have very dry air for it to overcome.  Depending on how thick the cold air above us is we could see freezing rain, sleet or snow.  I’m leaning towards a mix of all three, but more ice than snow as we will be right in the “battle zone” of the different air masses.

Precipitation will be very light:  This looks like a drier version of last week’s storm that dropped 1 – 2 inches of snow.  I’m going for a dusting of snow with areas of ice.  Could be a messy early morning commute.

It’s March now which means even on a cloudy day the angle of the sun and it’s increased energy is enough to melt snow and ice off of roads from roughly 9 or 10am to 5pm), so travel during most of the day should be just fine even if snow is still flying through the air.

Cold air will be rushing in behind this storm giving us our second shot at snow Wednesday night.  This is manly for the east side of the Willamette Valley.  Basically the further east you live the better chance you have at seeing an inch or 2 of snow Wednesday evening/night.

Early Thursday morning a batch of heavier showers looks to roll in sometime between 4am and 10am.  Temps are forecast to be right around 31 – 34° which means we could pick up a quick inch or two of very wet/slushy snow to start our day off.  More rain and snow showers will fall the rest of the day.  Just like Wednesday, there should be no travel concerns past about 10am.  The rest of the day should be just fine.

Same story for Friday.  Morning snow will give way to a few afternoon rain showers.

Beyond Saturday it looks like we have a brief warm up and dry break coming for Sunday and Monday.  If this holds true it will feel very nice after this cold week.


THE CASCADES AND BEYOND

Tonight through Saturday morning I expect snow at times in the Coast Range, and plenty of snow in the Cascades even during the daytime up there above 2000′.  The Gorge will also be messy, so if you plan on traveling through any of these regions be prepared for wintry weather with snow and ice.

Feb 25th storm recap & forecast

Time for another addition of “The Good, the Bad, & the Ugly!”

The Good, the bad & the Ugly!

I’m sitting here tonight happy that everyone got at least a little bit of snow (good).  My forecast of 3 to 5 inches was too high (bad).  Totals ended much closer to 1 to 3 inches.  The higher hills in south Salem received 3 inches (good).  Everyone else ended up closer to the 1 inch range (bad).

The Eugene and Springfield area received some very heavy snowfall with 8 to 14 inches for most locations south of roughly Junction City and Brownsville (good).

The temperature last night in Salem was a couple degrees warmer than I anticipated which resulted in a longer and slower than expected transition from rain/snow mix to all snow last night (bad).

It’s been a cold day.  The sun never came out and we stayed in the 30s all day long (good).  In fact our high temp today was 38° recorded just after midnight before the rain, snow, and colder air moved in.  Our “daytime high” temp was only 36°.

It wasn’t a huge storm or even close to it for the immediate Salem area, but as you can see we were not far from receiving much higher totals had the snow band stalled just a little closer to us.  See how a little distance can make a huge difference??


All things considered I feel good about how the forecast turned out.  A little bummed it ended up being another mediocre snow event here in Salem as we yet again managed to avoid the heavier snow, but I’ll take 1 – 3 inches over nothing almost any day. 🙂  😉

Here’s some pics from around the region to help give an idea of the different conditions experienced.  This first set is from the hills of south Salem.

This pic comes from the hills of Eugene courtesy of Micah Sardell where 16 inches fell!!

Eugene 2.25 Micah Sardell

And last, but not least, from my own backyard 😉


A look ahead, and sorry, but no super fancy graphic tonight 😉

Tonight:  Cold & dry.  A very chilly night with lows getting into the mid to low 20s.  Icy roads likely in spots.

Tuesday:  Very cold start, but should stay dry.  Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:  Light snow during the morning hours transitioning to flurries or even some sprinkles during the afternoon.  For now I’m leaning towards just a dusting to an inch tops.  I expect no real travel issues Wednesday unless this storm ends up being stronger than current forecasts are predicting.

Thursday & Friday:  The threat for snow & rain showers continues with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and lows generally between 29 and 32°.

Saturday – Monday:  Lots of sunshine, very cold mornings, and dry.  Lows 22 – 26°, and highs 44 – 50°.

Will be watching late Tuesday night through Friday for any changes, but as of right now I’m not seeing any major snow events during this time frame.


The Cascades and Beyond

Up in the mountains, and basically everywhere east of the Cascades it’s been ridiculously snowy, and with more snow on the way I don’t expect easy travel condions in those parts anytime soon.