A fresh update

On July 31, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

Some changes are finally on the horizon in regards to the weather. Biggest change is the decent chance we have at seeing widespread rain next week. Details below.

August 1

Thursday & Friday: Morning clouds will be slow to burn off. Afternoon sun.

Weekend: Mild & dry. Increasing clouds late in the day Sunday, but should still stay nice & dry.

Next week:

August 2

Monday – Wednesday: Rain showers will dominate this time frame. Looks like Tuesday could be the wettest day.

Thursday: Warming up & drying out.

Next weekend: Currently looks very nice.

Update on the heat

On July 27, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, The Mountains and Beyond1 Comment

Our hot weather peaks this Sunday and Monday with highs close to 100 both days and lows only dipping down to the mid to upper 60s. Humidity and smoke will also be on the increase through Monday.

Tuesday will still be quite warm: high 87.

We gradually cool through the week with highs by next Saturday and Sunday only getting into the mid 70s.

Still no rain in sight or any chance for mountain thunderstorms through at least the next 6 days.

Another week of 90s

On July 21, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, The Mountains and BeyondLeave a comment

The title just about says it all. Sunday will kick off a 7 plus day stretch of high temps in the 90s. This means the warm nights will return with lows staying in the 60 -67 degree range, so good luck staying cool this week …

Cascade Range and Central Oregon

Sunny & hot with no chance for thunderstorms in sight which is very good news for the wildfire threat. This is also good news if you have recreational plans as it will stay high and dry for you.

Hot hot hot

On July 15, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, The Mountains and BeyondLeave a comment

The heat will continue for the next couple of weeks with the “coolest” highs only being in the mid 80s.

We have one little hiccup for today’s forecast. There’s a chance for Cascade thunderstorms today and tonight and a small chance those drift close to the valley later today.

More evening showers on the way

On July 5, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, WEATHER ALERTSLeave a comment

It’s early Thursday evening and again we have a chance of seeing some showers around and maybe even a few rumbles of thunder this time. The shower chances will last through the night.

Friday is looking mostly cloudy with a few afternoon sunbreaks highs in the low 70s.

High confidence that the weekend will be mostly sunny, warm with highs well into the 80s, and dry.

Well…. ;)

On July 4, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area Forecast, WEATHER ALERTSLeave a comment

Happy Independence Day!!!

Would you look at that!! The very small chance for showers that I mentioned in my June 30th post came to be. It appears that this is not the super nice and sunny 4th of July many other forecasters were calling for after all. Looks like my cloudier and cooler forecast was not so far off after all… 😉 I just regret that I couldn’t get an update to you all sooner.

Expect on and off (light) showers through the evening. Good news: tonight after about 6 or 7pm it should dry out and stay dry for the remainder of the evening. Another shower or two is very possible both Thursday & Friday. With that said, both those days should feature more sunbreaks than what we have seen today.

After Friday I don’t see any more chances for rain or showers for a while as we move into a warmer pattern again, but I’ll take a closer look tomorrow when I provide a fresh extended outlook for you all.

After my miss with the snow this past winter it feels really good to just about nail a forecast several days in advance 🙂 Plus I went against the forecasts of the “professionals, so I feel even happier to have beat them out this time. Okay, enough bragging 😉 Enjoy the rest of your 4th and be safe!!!

Looking to July

On June 30, 2018 By bryanweatherIn Salem Area ForecastLeave a comment

Here’s a fresh updated forecast that takes us through the 4th of July and into next weekend. I have some important details below regarding the latest forecast so read carefully 😉

Details

I highlighted in yellow 3 days on the forecast graphic to indicate that those days have higher than usual uncertainty regarding the forecast. I’m seeing lots of real sunny forecasts for the 4th of July and the days following it; however, I’m thinking it’s going to be much cloudier and cooler than what is being indicated by other forecasts. More thoughts and details below.

Saturday & Sunday: Dry and mild.

Monday: Cooler, lots of clouds, but still dry.

Tuesday: A nice dry & mild day.

Wednesday: Lots of clouds around and possibly much cooler than what other forecasts are indicating, but still dry.

Thursday – Saturday: Chance that we see a lot more clouds both of these days than is being forecast.

Final thoughts: Keep a close eye on the forecast as there is a chance the Wednesday – Saturday time frame of next week could improve or get worse. I hate to say it, but there’s even a small chance for a shower or two during that time frame. Currently that chance is too small to put it on my fancy weather graphic, but needs to be watched in case those chances increase.

Bottom line: It should stay dry for your 4th of July, but it’s very likely that it will be much cooler than what other forecasts are calling for which is why yours truly is watching things very closely for you and will provide more updates as the holiday draws near.

AND…. Just to demonstrate how different my forecast is from the other guys I have these posted here. I guess we will see who is right and who is well, not so right… May the best forecaster win. Here is the Fox 12 forecast: