The next 7 days

Highlights

Friday will be the coolest day since last Saturday with morning clouds and highs only around 79.

For the most part the smoke will be cleared out of here for the weekend, but the break from it will be short-lived.  By Sunday evening the smoke returns and will keep our highs from going much above 90 next week.

The other little challenge to the forecast is the possibility for thunderstorms Monday.  Thunderstorms are so tough to forecast here.  The chance is small like usual, but if I don’t mention it at all and then it pours “unexpectedly” I feel like I’ve dropped the ball.  On the other hand when I put storms in the forecast like this it makes the day look rainier than it will likely be.

Bottom line:  The vast majority of Monday will be dry even if we do see a storm roll through.  Rest assured that yours truly will keep a close eye on it.

All the other days look warm & dry for the foreseeable future.

 

No relief from the heat in sight. 

Friday will be more comfortable with highs only in the mid 80s.

Next week is looking very hot with increased humidity.

Smoky skies won’t be leaving us anytime soon.

Bottom line:  the heat continues…

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Saturday’s “showers”

Don’t cancel your outdoor plans over these.  It’s just going to be a light shower or a few sprinkles.  By Saturday evening it will be nice & dry again. 

Here in the Salem area I’m only expecting a couple of brief showers which means some of you could stay dry the whole day.  Keep in mind though dry or not, it will be a very cool & cloudy day for sure.

If you are seeking rain then head to Portland or places north of there.  Rain showers will be more numerous the further north you go.

If you are going to be in Corvallis/Albany or places south then you will stay dry.

If you are going east of the Cascades you will stay dry.

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Sunday and beyond

Sunday we warm right back up and by Monday we are back in the 90s for at least through Wednesday if not longer…

 

Thick smoke is keeping temperatures down just a few degrees, but it’s still plenty hot out there.

A few LIGHT showers is looking more and more likely Saturday.

Sunday will kick off another very warm/hot string of days going into next week.

Highlights

Smoke from wildfires will keep a hazy look to the sky through Friday. 

Big cool down during the day Friday with increasing clouds and breezy winds at times.

A chance for a shower or two on Saturday.

Sunday we start another warming trend with more dry weather for next week.

I just performed some big time surgery to the forecast.  In the past 24 hours or so the nice cool down and chance for a good soaking rain next week has quickly been replaced with more hot & dry weather.  Yes, that means the heat will return sooner than previously expected.  Details below:

ALSO, I made some major changes to the website in an attempt to make it more user friendly and useful for my super awesome followers.  First, there’s an archive column on a couple of the pages which should make it easier to go back and reference old posts, you know, in case you need something  to read  for falling asleep quicker 😉  Then we have the new homepage.  This homepage is actually somewhat useful now with info such as snapshots of the current and extended forecasts.  I hope you all like the changes as much as I do and hopefully they make this site more valuable. Okay, now back to the weather…

Basically hot and dry for another 10 or more days with no rainfall in sight.  Enjoy these next couple of “cooler” days, cause by Monday we will be back in the 90s.

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Nerdy weather stuff below only for the bravest of men, and women 😉

Now I understand this is a huge change from my previous forecast and I know I have much more to learn in the forecasting world, but with that said, take a look for yourselves at just how crazy it has been trying to give an accurate forecast for next week:  Below is a map from Monday of the estimated total precipitation for western Oregon valued through early next Wednesday morning.

This is suppose to be one of the most accurate weather models in the world and here it’s showing around an inch of rain falling for the mid Willamette Valley along with a good soaking rain all across the region.

But, now look at what the same computer model is showing as of tonight:

Basically no rain at all for any of us, and instead it has another hot air mass moving right over Oregon.  Thus the sudden change.  It looks like I still have more to learn if I’m going to be better than the pros… 🙂 

Have a wonderful day and be safe out there!!