Now that I’m running a weather forecasting website I have to admit that I don’t appreciate the surprise last minute changes in the weather the way that I use to, and yesterday was one of those occasions.  Of course if I had done a more thorough overview of the conditions yesterday I would have noticed the storm was coming in faster than expected.  I’m working on a sort of formula or check list of maps and charts to review/double check before posting new forecasts in the future in order to help improve my accuracy.

Quite a few changes in the forecast for the next several days, and almost all the changes are for wetter conditions…  It looks like our wet season is upon us. 

Today:  Still looking wet at times with generally light rain.

Saturday:  Lots of clouds and a shower or two.  More steady rain towards evening. 

Sunday:  Stormy with rain & wind much of the day.  There will be no dry start to the day anymore. 

Monday:  Showery and cool.

Tuesday:  Big change here with rain at times.

A big and sad change to announce for Wednesday.  This change unfortunately concerns Halloween plans.  It now appears that a storm will be dropping further south Wednesday.  Far enough south that we could see rain much of the day.  It’s possible the rain ends by late afternoon, but we won’t know that until we get closer to the day.  I know many of us have plans the weather could affect which is why I’ll be keeping a very close eye on it with updates to come as the forecast becomes clearer.

Thursday:  Some light rain possible.

We are nearing the end of the month already.  Can you believe it?!?!?!?  Anyway, I got a nice updated forecast including the outlook for Halloween, and as of right now it’s looking nice and dry for those outdoor activities :O 🙂

Notice I’m sporting a lot of green highlight on this forecast which means I’m fairly confident in what I’ve got up here.  We’ll see how it actually turns out 😉

Wednesday:  Dry the rest of the day

Thursday:  Dry much of the day, but rain will move in slowly from the NW.  If you live further towards Portland or McMinnville you can expect to see the rain sooner than the rest of us.

Friday:  wet much of the day.

Saturday:  a foggy start likely, then dry.

Sunday:  Fog in places.  Rain moving in during the afternoon.

Monday:  showery & cool.

Tuesday & Wednesday:  Foggy mornings possible with dry & partly cloudy afternoons.

First off, sorry about the previous post titled “Vert warm for a few more days.”  I guess a well educated, mature, and handsome (if that matters) adult like myself is still prone to typos every great once in a while 😉  Perhaps I’ll edit it.  

Moving on, the biggest difference I see for this coming week is that it’s looking drier than previously thought.  The storm posed to move in late Tuesday is looking weaker and weaker with every new weather model forecast.  Thursday’s storm is looking less rainy/windy as well.  So while it will in fact rain next week, I see that it won’t add up to a whole lot.  Safe to say our dry season this year is not leaving us real fast.

Fun fact here regarding a warm weather.  Salem set a new record high temperature Tuesday with a high of 83°!!!  That is toasty warm for mid October and the warmth will continue through Sunday.

Monday:  Should make it into the 70s one final time, but clouds will be on the increase.

Tuesday:  Afternoon rain which will break a 14 day dry stretch.

Wednesday:  Will be in between storms so expect a mostly dry day.  A shower or two is still possible.

Thursday:  Rainy & breezy day.

This week will feature some very warm (for mid October standards) temperatures.  Highs today will be close to 80°!!!  We have dry, mostly sunny conditions to look forward to through Sunday. 

Monday of next week is a transition day into cooler weather.  I’m not sure any rain actually falls that day yet, but at the very least clouds and cooler air will move in.

Beyond next Monday:  High confidence that we enter into a rainy/stormy pattern which should put an end to 70+ degree weather for the year.

This very mild October weather just keeps coming and coming.  We have at least a week if not more of dry & sunny weather ahead for us.  This goes for the mountains and central Oregon too.  Basically 70s by day and mid 30s to low 40s at night. 

New forecast is out after spending a bit of time yesterday thinking, reviewing, and looking back on Sunday’s messed up forecast .  Silver lining is that I’ve got another learning experience under my belt (trying to think positive) and hopefully I will continue to improve my forecasting skill as time goes on.  Anyway, high confidence all the way through this week that we stay dry each day.  Doesn’t mean it won’t change, just a smaller chance that it does so.