Meh…

We have one more very nice day ahead on Friday before we cool off and head into a pattern of increased clouds, isolated showers, and sunbreaks.  It’s a complicated weather pattern for this coming week as we will be on the edge of several weather systems, but I strive to give you my best guess, so here it is.  Extra details below.

Sept 8

Saturday:  Dry most of the day with a slight chance of a shower.  Chance for showers increases towards evening.

Sunday:  A stray shower here or there, but mostly dry.

Monday:  Should stay dry.  Small chance for a showers north of Salem for places like Portland, Canby, Amity, McMinniville ect.

Tuesday:  Watching for a chance of showers across the region.

Wednesday & Thursday:  Looks to be dry at this point.

Beautiful early fall weather

Sept 7

The Willamette Valley will continue to see dry, warm days through Friday.

Saturday:  should stay dry until late in the day when we begin to see an increasing chance for a shower or two.  Not an all day rain event, but just enough to keep the day from staying completely dry… :/ 

Similar story on Sunday except the shower threat will last through the day.  Best advice is keep an eye to the sky and don’t cancel all your outdoor plans.  The majority of the day will be dry with just a few pesky rain showers every now and then.

Monday:  watching Monday closely.  Currently it’s looking like a dry day, but as you can see it’s highlighted yellow,  so still uncertain.

Warm week

The Cascades will be sunny and mild during the afternoons this week, but it is late September which means the nights cool off fast.  Same story east of the mountains. 

The Cascades and central Oregon both have a decent shot at a few showers beginning Saturday afternoon and carrying into Sunday.

The Oregon coast:  The sun will even be a regular over on the coast this week.  The whole week won’t be sunny, but much more sunshine than one might typically expect over there. 

For Saturday & Sunday the coast does have a slightly higher chance at seeing some rain showers, but with sunbreaks still mixed in at times, so not a washout by any means.  This shower threat will extend into Monday.

Quick update

The forecast is pretty straight forward going into next week.  We have one cool and somewhat wet day tomorrow.  Drying out and turning mild Sunday.  Monday through Friday will be very nice, dry and warm with highs in the 80s for the most part.  Next Saturday should still be dry, but a bit cooler.

Sept 6

A nice September Forecast

I’ve now used highlighting a few times on the extended forecast, and I’m becoming more and more of a fan of it.  So much so that I plan to use it on a regular basis to help communicate how confident I’m feeling about a forecast.  This should be a nice tool for letting my you, wonderful viewers, know when a forecast is more likely to change or stay about the same.

Here’s a nice little chart to help you visualize what the colors mean.

confidence scale

Looking ahead

We have a brief wet period late Friday evening through most of Saturday.  It won’t be a washout, but showers will come and go during this time keeping things wet. 

Sunday is a transition day with clouds around, cool, but dry.

Monday is the beginning of a much drier and warmer pattern.  You can see with my new confidence highlighting scheme that I have higher than normal confidence in next week being much warmer.  It will be a very nice stretch of days that should carry into next weekend (28th – 30th) and maybe even longer.

Sept 5

Extended forecast update

Real fast update on this cool & showery Sunday morning.

Sept 4

Thursday is no longer highlighted in yellow as it now looks to stay dry which means we have a nice 4 day stretch of dry weather ahead.  Take note it won’t be super warm, but temps in the 70s each day.

Next weekend is highlighted so stay tuned as that forecast is very non committal at this point and is subject to lots of change.