I know I’m at risk of losing popularity for saying this, but I have really enjoyed the rainy weather this fall. We were due for a really wet November. Saturday was the first totally dry day we have had this month. Hard to say if the second half of the month will be equally wet, but we are definitely on the “right track” for a wetter than average November. Here’s the extended forecast. Notice it’s not nearly as damp as what we saw last week.

Highlights and details

Monday is going to be a stormy day. A very potent cold front moves in Monday. This front will be a fairly strong with gusty south winds ahead of it. Gusts will range from 30 to 40mph. Expect a few hours of steady rain – some of which will be quite heavy and could lead to some isolated street flooding where drains are clogged. A sharp drop in temperature will follow behind the front as winds shift to the west northwest. Snow levels will drop from over 7000′ down to 3000′ Monday night; however, only a few inches of snow is expected in the passes as most of the precip with this storm will be fall on the warm side of the front.

Then we have a two day stretch of cool, sunny, and dry weather. Could end up with a bit of stubborn fog here in the valley, but it will definitely be dry and the mountains and coast should be very nice and sunny!

I’m keeping a close eye on Thursday and Friday as another dynamic storm moves across the state. This one could bring another round of very gusty winds to the region along with mountain snow.

Have a great week!!

November 2021 is running well above normal in the precipitation department with a little over 2 inches of rain so far this month. Definitely a La Nina feel out there lately. The mountains also picked up a solid foot of snow over the weekend, and now we are looking at what will be the rainiest couple of days we have seen this fall. Take a look at the estimated rainfall for now through Saturday morning.

Moderate to heavy rain moves in overnight. By the time you wake up Thursday morning, over an inch of rain will likely have fallen with almost another inch expected during the day on Thursday through Friday night. This storm is ushering in very mild weather which means rain even up in the mountains. There is also a chance of thunderstorms with the rain tonight. It’s going to be one of those stormy nights.

All this rain plus the melting of our mini snowpack in the Cascades will lead to some flooding. We are under a flood watch and I suspect there will be some minor to moderate flooding along some of our low laying areas, creeks, and streams.

I don’t expect major flooding and I don’t expect any flooding on the large rivers like the Willamette.

The rain shuts off Friday night fairly quickly leaving Saturday and most of Sunday dry. Some showers might sneak in Sunday late in the day. If you have plans this weekend the good news is you should have some decent weather to go with them.

Another storm system rolls in on Monday bringing more rain, cooler air, and mountain snow.

There you have it. Stormy with no big dry stretch in sight. Stay safe and watch for flooding.

By every definition of the word today is going to be a very stormy day.

By the way, you may have heard by now about our “bomb” cyclone/storm offshore. I can tell you that yes, this is one of the strongest storms on record this close to our coastline; however, it’s 100s of miles away and the winds from it will be nothing more than what we see with a typical wintertime storm. With that said, we still have a lot of very stormy weather on tap for today.

Highlights

1.) Winds will gust 30 to 40mph today and tonight which is still enough to cause a few scattered power outages.

2.) Showers have the potential to be very heavy with this storm. I expect some neighborhoods will see ponding on roads and maybe some spots of brief localized flooding especially where drains are clogged. Some low laying areas could be at risk if a heavy shower stalls overhead. This type of weather pattern is conducive to showers stalling over the same locations leading to heavy rainfall totals in localized spots.

3.) The coast will see some massive waves today. Waves up to 40 some feet are possible through tonight.

4.) The coast is also at risk of seeing some weak funnel clouds and or tornados. Not trying to frighten anyone, and if any do form they will likely be the typical weak NW variety. Regardless, even a weak tornado can still cause damage.

5.) Anyone could hear thunder as the atmosphere is very unstable today.

Monday will be similar as this storm system takes its time moving across the region.

Stay safe and enjoy the stormy fall weather.

Posting from my phone today. Still the same extremely handsome and very accurate forecaster, 😉🙃 but without all the fun charts or maps.

Basically the next 2 days will feature a lot of clouds, some heavy showers, even some gusty winds at times, and on Tuesday, in particular, a few sunbreaks mixed in as well. Could be some lightning, thunder, and small hail at times during the afternoon hours both days.

Wed: Should be dry, but cool with areas of morning fog – very fall like if you ask me with lows in the mid 40s and highs in the upper 60s.

Thu: Dry until the late afternoon when we have a shot at seeing a few quick showers.

That’s all for now. Enjoy the rest of your Sunday!!

After a very thorough soaking over this past weekend we are back to dry weather. Mild, sunny & dry weather is common this time of year as it’s not really the full blown “wet season” just yet; however, gone are the endless days of dry weather. I have forecast details below, but first a quick look at our rainfall totals from the weekend storm. These totals are rounded so they don’t tell the whole story. Salem’s official total from the storm was actually 1.49″. It was both a good start to our rainy season, and it made a big dent in the wildfire situation here in OR.

EXTENDED FORECAST

1.) Slight chance of a shower Wednesday. A very weak system will be sliding by to our north with a few more showers up around Portland. By 5PM the sky should clear up with Wed ending on a dry note.

2.) Thu – Sun look dry. This will be a great stretch of time to either play or get things done outside. Keep in mind it’s the second half of September which means warm temps during the day cool off quickly at night with lows around 52 – 54°. This will likely be the last really mild and dry weekend of the year, so take advantage if you can!!

3.) Mon looks to be wet as showers return to the area.

4.) Tue could end up being a very stormy day, but will have more updates as we get closer. For now at least plan on it being wet.

Take care out there and be kind to each other!