Wet weather returning

For the first time in over 40 days, we finally have rain and showers in the forecast. Western Oregon has been incredibly dry with locations like Los Angeles having seen more rain than we have since May! Anyway, things are finally changing.

Here’s a look at the next 7 days.

Today: Mostly dry. Probably not much more than some isolated sprinkles.

Sunday: WET. The action picks up a bit with showers and even some thunderstorms moving through the region. Some really nice downpours. Unfortunately, they will be just in time for Father’s Day…

Monday: WET. More thunderstorms and downpours with sunbreaks in between.

Tuesday: WET. Steady rain morning rain will transition into a few afternoon showers.

Wednesday: DRY. Temps should climb back into the lower 70s with partly cloudy skies.

Thursday – next weekend: DRY. Lower confidence for this time frame as we will be on the edge of a pesky upper level low. In “English” that means we could see some thunderstorms drift over our region if the low sets up in the right spot. Too far away to know yet. For now I’m going with a mostly dry forecast, but still hanging on to a slight chance of thunderstorms. Temps will be warm with highs close to 80. Chance for thunderstorms will be highest up in the Cascades. Even if we do see a storm during this period of time, the majority of these days will still be dry.

Happy weekend, happy end to the school year, and happy Father’s Day! 🙂

The week ahead

I have a nice quick glance at our week ahead for you all. Let’s start off with today.

Mon: Lots of clouds and a few showers. Sunbreaks are possible later today, and there is a growing chance for some heavy showers and or storms from roughly Salem northward towards Portland late this afternoon and evening. These storms will be capable of dropping significant amounts of rain as well as the possibility of thunder and lightning.

Tue & Wed: Both days will be nice with partly cloudy days conditions and maybe a few PM showers (or thunderstorms). The mountains will stand a higher chance of seeing any sort of showers or storms, but just like we saw this past week, anyone could see a storm. Just keep in mind that the majority of both these days will be dry.

Moving on, Thu and Friday will be nice with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Warmer than normal, but still fairly comfortable summer like weather.

Sat & Sun: The heat strikes back hard with highs soaring into the low 90s! Yes, it’s going to be a hot weekend!

If you feel ripped off because you didn’t see a storm this past week, well then welcome to the club lol. It’s just how it goes around here. The big winners were locations around the Eugene region, locations between Amity and McMinnville, and several Portland metro area neighborhoods. All those places experienced at least a little bit of thunder and lightning last week.

Okay, there you have it.

Happy Monday! 🙂

Setting the stage

Today is turning out to be a bit warmer than previous days this week, but the sun won’t last. A disturbance up in the atmosphere is rotating towards us right now. Couple it with the increased heat we are seeing today, and I expect numerous showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon and lasting through the night, and even through the first half of Thursday. There will be a lot of lift in the atmosphere which helps to sustain storms even into the nighttime hours. These storms will be moving in an unusual direction for our region moving from the southeast to the northwest (so Cascades towards the valley and coast). Keep your eye to the sky as the next 24 hours could get sorta wild for our part of the world with gusty winds, heavy rain, and thunder and lighting all possible for at least some of us.

Friday through Sunday: We will see lots of cloud cover, and some showers at times with notable dry breaks in between.

Okay, Happy Wednesday!! 🙂

Spring showers

Did you enjoy the warmer/hotter weather? It’s getting to be that time of year where we have more and more warm and sunny days and fewer rainy days. Our toasty high temperature of 91° on Friday actually fell short of the record for the day. Back on April 28th, 1926 Salem reached a scorching (for April) high of 93°. Of course, if you’ve been outside or had any windows open then you know we are done with the heat for now.

The forecast for this week is a bit tricky as a cutoff low is expected to send waves of showers over the area at sort of random times throughout the week making my job difficult. I’ll do my best to provide details, but keep in mind that timing of these showers will be extremely hard to pinpoint.

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Monday through Friday: Same routine almost every single day with a period of rain or showers, but with lengthy dry breaks in between. This type of pattern is a decent thunderstorm producer too, so don’t be surprised to see a storm at some point this week. I have details for each day below:

Today and Monday

A lot of clouds, noticeably cooler, but should stay almost completely dry. Theses two days have the smallest chance for rain of all the days this week. Highs in the low 60s. As of noon today most places west of the Cascades are still in the upper 50s. Nice and warm east of the mountains though. 🙂

Monday night/Tuesday

This timeframe will feature our first real shot of seeing rain or thunderstorms. Highs on Tuesday should reach between 70 and 73°.

Wednesday

This day is currently looking mostly – if not totally dry. Expect highs in the low 70s. 🙂

Thursday

I’ve seen a lot of signs indicating this day will feature more showers with an elevated threat for thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday

Cooler and cloudy with showers likely. Highs barely reaching 60°.

Expect similar conditions for next weekend too. Not a washout, but not totally dry either. Meanwhile, up in the Cascades it will be too warm for snow this week, so no concerns for snowy roads; however, heavy rain at times from thunderstorms could still cause travel issues if you find yourself up there this week.

Have a great rest of your day!!!

Mid April update

I’ve been taking a little break from providing you all with wonderful forecasts. Life has been busy with work, taxes, and everything that else that’s been popping up lately. Of course you absolutely do not need a forecaster to inform you this spring has been both very chilly and wet. If you’re looking for a forecast then skip to the “Look Ahead” section; otherwise, here’s a quick recap of spring so far.

Salem ended the month of March 4.5° below average making it one of the coldest Marches since the mid 1980s! Precip was a little above normal with just over 5 inches of rain. Fast forward to April, and we are currently sitting 3.8° below normal, and have 3.63″ of rain so far which is drastically above where we should be for precipitation at this point in the month. In case you need any more evidence our spring has been cool and wet, check out the snow water equivalent map for Oregon. This map essentially measures how much water is stored in the snowpack compared to average for this time of year.

Look Ahead

Rest of today: Dry through the evening.

Sunday: It’s back to “normal” with rain and breezy winds at times with gusts 20 to 30mph.

Mon – Thu: This will be a pretty chilly and wet stretch of days with periods of rain, occasional downpours, more hail likely, maybe a thundershower, and gusty winds at times. The Cascades will pick up another 2 to 3 feet of new snow this week adding to the snowpack up there. The trickiest days to travel the Cascade passes will probably be Mon – Wed.

That’s it for now. Still waiting to hit 70 degrees though.

Can’t catch a break

I thought my forecasts have been turning out so well lately, and then yesterday happened. “Upper 50s” turned into a high of 47°. Brrrrrrrrrr! Sure, it was dry outside – small victory, but we couldn’t shake the clouds which kept the cold air from the night before trapped. Here are Monday’s high temps from the region.

I mean check out Seattle almost topping 60°. I’m thrilled to death for them lol, but what a huge bummer for us. Now I’m having to downgrade Wed – Fri too. These 3 days were suppose to be “nice and dry with highs in the 60s,” I looked back and that’s actually what I said, but sadly that is no longer the case.

Both Wednesday and Thursday should still see a fair amount of sunbreaks with Wednesday being the sunniest day, but temps will probably top out just shy of 60°. The other bad news is that there is a slight chance of a PM shower both days. Most of us should stay dry each day, but our totally dry days are now threatened by a few isolated showers. With that said, Wednesday and Thursday are your best bet for dry weather for the foreseeable future, and the majority of the region will in fact be pretty dry, so make the most of these two days.

Friday’s forecast really went down the drain. Showers and light rain will increase through the day keeping temps in the upper 40s.

If you were hoping for dry weather than you should have stopped reading a long time ago haha. Saturday and Sunday look very similar to what we just saw this past weekend with breezy winds, downpours, hail showers and heavy snow in the mountains. Travel through the Cascades Friday evening through the first half of next week looks to be very snowy. Tons of new snow on the way for the mountains beginning on Friday.

So, enjoy the “mostly dry days” and the “almost 60 degree highs,” on Wednesday and Thursday lol, and find time to relax, smile, and remind yourself that warmer weather will eventually return. Look for another update later in the week with more details regarding our return to cold and stormy weather.

Snow and wild weather

Well that was fun! Many of us have seen hail, graupel, rain, and snow today with some short lived sunbreaks in between. I hope you enjoyed the exciting weather because we basically do it all over again Saturday with some minor differences. Here’s the plan:

Saturday: Anyone could wake up to a coating of wet snow. Chances for morning snow is slightly higher than what we saw this morning which means more neighborhoods could wake up to snow this go around. Snow will melt quickly however, so don’t panic or cancel plans if you wake up to a winter wonderland, because it won’t last long at all. During the day expect the same routine with sunbreaks, hail showers, and downpours.

Sunday: One final chance for early morning snow. The daytime hours will see more sunbreaks than what we saw today. Heavy downpours will also remain possible for all locations, but to a lesser extent meaning more dry times than wet.

Monday: Chilly frosty morning with afternoon sunshine pushing us into the upper 50s

Tuesday: Cloudy, wet, and chilly. This is actually a tough forecast as we will be right on the edge of a large storm; however, at this time I’m going with light rain much of the day based off of past experiences in this setup.

Wed – Fri: Looking nice and dry with highs in the 60s!!! 🙂

Cascade passes will remain very snowy overall through Sunday morning before things finally calm down up there. Lots and lots of new snow in our mountains lately!! 🙂 I see Hoodoo Ski Area has a 92″ base!!!

Take care and happy Friday!!