Wet night. Wet weekend.

Rain is moving into the Salem area and it’s going to be a damp evening. 

No fancy graphics tonight, but keep your eyes peeled for a nice detailed updated tomorrow morning/early afternoon.  I’m sure you have heard more rumors of snow, and there’s a lot to cover, and there’s a lot of possibilities.  Just know that Monday through Thursday of next week look very chilly and very wet, and there is a decent chance we see some sort of snowfall.

Again stay tuned for a nice updated tomorrow!

Oh and one more thing…   The Cascade passes and the Gorge will be very snowy pretty much now through uhhhh well for a long time, so be prepared when traveling in those parts.

More chilly weather

A nice rainy night is in progress as I write this, and I gotta say I absolutely love a rainy night every now and then.  It’s just so soothing to listen to…

Anyway, it’s looking like the next 7 days are going to stay very chilly, cold, and wet at times with tons of mountain snow.

Feb 19

All the details you need to know

Wednesday:  A showery day.  A few showers could contain hail.  A couple PM sunbreaks.

Thursday:  Frosty cold morning giving way to a cool, but mostly sunny day.

Friday:  Another cold start.  Majority of the day will stay dry with rain arriving late in the afternoon.

Saturday:  Very similar to Wednesday’s weather.  Cold showers, hail possible.  Don’t be surprised to see some wet snow mixing in as well.

Sunday:  A slightly colder version of Saturday with snow mixing with the showers, especially up in the hills.

Monday:  A chance for some morning flurries or sprinkles.  Partly cloudy afternoon.  Cold.

Tuesday:  Watching for a chance of rain (possibly snow or a rain/snow mix).  Big changes possible with Tuesday’s forecast which means…. You guessed it!  Stay tuned for more updates!!! 😉

More February cold

Feb 18


Highlights

We have two main storms coming in over the next 6 days.  The first will bring showers as early as Tuesday afternoon and will last through Wednesday night.  We are dry Thursday and most of Friday before storm number two rolls in Friday evening.  Cold showers will dominate both Saturday & Sunday.


Details

Wednesday:  Cool and showery.  Some showers will be heavy and could contain hail or ice pellets.  Snow levels around 1500’ with 7 – 12 new inches of snow for the Cascades.

Thursday:  Dry

Friday:  Dry with evening rain.

Saturday & Sunday:  Cold & showery.  Basically a near repeat of Wednesday’s weather.  Very low snow levels with another 10 to 16″ of snow above 2000′ and up to 5″ above 1000′.

Bottom line:  Colder than normal temps continue with lots of mountain snow.  Expect snow even in the Coast Range at times Wednesday, Saturday, and Sunday mornings.

Looking ahead!!

deep thinker

As this picture clearly shows I’m a deep thinker lol…  Today I’m thinking about the forecast for this weekend and next week as we will continue with both colder than normal weather, and more flirtations with possible low elevation snow. 

The next 7 days.  Yes, more snowflakes in the forecast, but sadly it will likely be more of the same with some slush or a dusting at best.  Better chance for snow the higher up in elevation you live.

Feb 14

Details

Rest of today:  Breezy with gusty south winds turning us mild (briefly).  Rain moves in tonight with a cold front and we cool right back down.

Friday:  Showers during the day with some steadier rain in the evening.  A few hail/ice pellets showers possible along with some fairly heavy rain showers, especially during the afternoon hours.  Snow levels around 1500’.

Saturday:  Snow level will start quite low (around 1000’) before rising to 2000’ later in the day with a few showers.

Saturday night – Sunday morning:  Another cold air mass surges in during the overnight hours bringing snow levels close to 500’.  I’m currently not anticipating anything real exciting, but the possibility exists that a few snow showers could fall down to the higher hills around town.

Sunday:  After a few rain (or snow showers), skies should clear up leading to a partly cloudy afternoon. 

Monday:  Dry & chilly.

Tuesday & Wednesday:  More chilly weather with rain showers and very low snow levels.

No great chance for snow on the valley floor yet, but if you live 500 – 1000’ you have a decent shot at seeing a light coating to an inch or two this weekend with possibly a little more next week.  Basically our cold and wet pattern is not going anywhere anytime soon.

Happy Valentine’s Day!!

A look ahead & storm recap

Forecast

Looking ahead I don’t see a good setup for snow still.  I don’t see a big warmup either as we continue to stay in this cold and wet pattern for the foreseeable future.  That part of the forecast has worked out very well as February is currently running far below average for temperature.

Feb 12


Storm recap

The past 36 hours have been wild and interesting to watch unfold at least from a weatherman’s perspective.  We had gusty south winds all Monday night and through Tuesday morning.  I’m sure you noticed them.  Gusts to 40mph were reported four separate times at the Salem airport.  Meanwhile areas to our northwest have been pounded by heavy rain causing flooding on many creeks and streams specifically up in Washington, Clatsop, and Tillamook counties.  Here’s what the radar looked like Tuesday morning.  Two things stand out.  First is the heavy rain just to our north, and the second is the heavy snow (in blue) just west of the Portland Metro area.

radar 2.12

I work very hard writing my own forecasts and making my own graphics, but I just don’t have a fancy studio or programs to create nice graphics which means today I’m borrowing from a local professional.  This image is brought to by Mark Nelson over on Fox 12 Oregon.  These precip totals were only through 10am, so I imagine much more fell as the day went on!!  You can clearly see locations to our north and west received far more rain this morning which led to the flooding issues up there.  I’ll try to have some official rain totals later.

Fox 12 precip 10am 2.12

Then there was the gorge where cold air kept snow falling along I-84 all day long.  Here’s I-84 at Cascade Locks from Tuesday morning.

CascadeLocks 2.12

No snow today as you might have noticed here in the Salem area, and that’s primarily a result of just not enough cold air and the rain band stalling a little too far north of us as the previous images revealed.  If the precip band had been directly over us it could have been a different story.  The locations where it did stall saw heavy wet snow fell below 1000′ causing trees to fall and messes like this scene from highway 6 early Tuesday morning in the northern Coast Range.

highway 6 2.12

Some additional proof that snow fell to low elevations Tuesday morning.  Here’s US 26 west of the Portland metro a little ways.  You can see snow had no trouble here sticking down to 778′ and even a bit lower in surrounding areas.  All in all a crazy day!

US 26 snow 2.12

I am sorry about the lack of a good snowfall here, but I’m thinking there’s nothing I can do about it.  Trust me I’m just as sad, and I keep telling myself this must be setting us up for an incredibly huge amount of snow sooner than later.  I mean that’s got to be how it works, right???  After all, Portland has received several inches so far this winter, Seattle is looking at historic snowfall for February, and even as I write this, it’s snowing and 32° in Redding California right now!!!  Sooner or later Salem has got to receive its “fair share” of snow.

 

 

Wet & cold…

Quick highlights

Monday:  Cold rain.  No issues.

Monday night – Thursday morning:  During this period of time we will be having near constant precipitation as a couple of storms essentially stall directly over the region.  Total precip between now and Thursday will be in the 3 to 4 inch range!!!  That will cause some localized on our smaller creeks and streams and some low laying areas.  No concern regarding the bigger rivers.  Notice I still have lots of snowflakes on the extended forecast below indicating that we will be “flirting” with snow much of the week, but for now I’m still leaning towards us just getting plain rain this week.

Beyond Thursday we stay colder than normal and wet.

Feb 10

Extra Details

Predicting snow around here truly is a pain in the, well you know…  Anyway, there are so many factors that have to be considered, and tonight I have some more “game changers” for the Tuesday – Thursday timeframe which could give us some heavy wet snow.

Some of the forecasting models indicate steady and heavy precip could drag the snow level down to the valley floor.  This has happened before.  It’s how we got that snowstorm in March several years ago.  The problem with this setup is everything has to come together just right or else we end up with only cold rain.  Check out this simulated radar image for early Tuesday morning.  It shows in the blue some very heavy snow falling in parts of the valley while the rest of us sit under a cold heavy rain.  Hard to say what will happen…. 

simulated radar Tue snow

Of course there are countless other maps and charts I look at, but this one I felt did the best job of showing how borderline we are going to be this week with seeing or not seeing snow.  Something to keep in mind.  Look for another update by Monday night as I should have a better idea by then.

Enjoy your Monday 🙂

Rainy Monday

It’s cold out there, clouds are overhead and there are rumors of snow all around.  Well, any snow we see this evening will be very brief and it will melt before any of us even wake up Monday morning.  So no need to worry.  South winds will make it tough to stay cold enough for snow, and in fact the winds will steadily warm us up overnight.  By Monday morning we should be around 40°.

Here’s a link to the latest radar image courtesy of Fox 12 News (and Mark Nelson) to help you keep track of where the rain and snow is falling.

Details

This evening:  Snow, changing over to a mix, and then just plain rain late tonight.  No accumulating snowfall below roughly 500′.  Anyone living close to 500′ and higher could see a quick inch before it melts later on with the incoming rain.

Monday:  Cold rain.  No issues.  Snow level will be all the way up to 2000′.


I’ll have a fresh look at the week ahead later this evening, but four things to know now regarding our week ahead:

It will be very wet.

Widespread valley snow this week is looking a lot less likely at the moment.

We will be staying in a colder and wetter than normal pattern for the foreseeable future which means you won’t have to go very high up in the hills/mountains to find snow and a lot of it.

The mountains are going to get absolutely dumped on with snow.  Especially above about 2500′.