Much wetter pattern on the way

We are several days into what has been a pretty dry stretch of weather, but there are clear signals this will be changing soon. At least some rain is expected every single day for at least the next eight days beginning Thursday (the 4th). Some days the rain will be light and spotty, and other days (especially next Tuesday and Wednesday) the rain will be heavier, steadier, and more widespread. Details below:

Details

The short version is that we have a very mild, but wet pattern coming up. No mountain snow whatsoever for ski resorts with this type of pattern. Maybe some snow briefly Thursday before temperatures warm up. Lots of highs in the 50s and lows struggling to dip into the 40s.

We have seen similar setups before. If the rain is spread out enough over a long enough period of time then we typically avoid any sort of flooding issues. If it falls heavy enough for a long enough period of time then we see flooding. Pretty straight forward.

What about flooding?

Right now my thoughts are tomorrow (Thursday) through Monday will be regular western Oregon rainy days. Nothing too wild. If you find yourself outdoors then you will need to plan accordingly. Tuesday through Thursday of next week hold the potential to be more impactful. Still too early to know how much rain will fall, but it’s becoming increasingly likely this time frame will feature heavier rainfall which could lead to some sort of flooding issues. Continue reading for more details. πŸ™‚

Currently I don’t see a threat for major flooding for two reasons: the very low water levels in our reservoirs, plus the lack of any meaningful snowpack. If we do see flooding next week it’s more likely to occur along the coast and Coast Range. Any flooding in the valley would be at a more localized/smaller scale – think Pudding River, the Luckiamute River, and maybe some of the local creeks around town, and again, nothing major. I plan to have a fresh update Friday with more details.

November 2025

The month is all wrapped up and honestly, there’s very little to say about it. November 2025 was damp with the majority of days experiencing at least a little bit of rain, but with very few big rainstorms or heavy rain events. The result? A drier than normal November.

As far as temperatures are concerned, well it was a mild month. Salem had 19 days with above normal highs! These two graphs depict our temperature situation from the month very well. Our coldest highs occurred of foggy days that never really cleared out. Otherwise, no big cold spells this past month to speak of.

Take care and have a wonderful rest of your week!

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